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mbd.br, rm < br/>' H', H, ,d>China Merchants Futures analyst Xu Shiwei said that the Federal Reserve has shifted its focus from employment data to consumption and inflation. As long as the new non-farm payrolls are no less than 10,000, the probability of interest rate hikes will not go down. The issue of inflation can also be traced from the long-term government bond yields. Recently, the long-term government bond yields of the United States, Japan and the European Union have rebounded to a certain extent, and market inflation expectations have increased slightly.
' H', H, , d Uncertainty factors still exist. Italy will hold a referendum on domestic constitutional reform on October 1, European time. On the surface, the goal of the referendum is constitutional reform, but if the referendum results, it may disintegrate the current Italian Democratic Party government led by Renzi and hold an early election at the beginning of the year. And the likelihood that it will turn out to be yes is now becoming more and more likely.
' H', H, , d In the past month, the yield on Italian government bonds has soared from .% to .%, an increase of 3 basis points. The biggest monthly increase since 2008. If the result of this referendum is
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